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ThriveInMarkets daily analysis hero — gold-textured WTI oil barrel up 3.4 percent at $99.71 on the left, fractured gold ingot down 2 percent at $4,580 on the right, headline AI Selloff and $100 Oil Hit Records Into FOMC across center on dark navy circuit-board background, April 28 2026
Daily Analysis

AI Selloff and $100 WTI Hit Records Into FOMC: S&P 7,126 (-0.66%), Nasdaq 24,592 (-1.18%), Gold $4,580 (-2.0%), BTC $76.4K, ETH $2,281

Tue, 28 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

How to trade the April 28-29 2026 FOMC meeting using a 25-minute bracket framework on EUR/USD, USD/JPY and gold during Powell's press conference
Guide

How to Trade the April 28-29 FOMC: 25-Minute Bracket Framework for EUR/USD, USD/JPY and Gold

Tue, 28 Apr 2026 · 13 min read

Wall Street trading floor screens reacting to Iran Hormuz reopening proposal as FOMC week opens with S&P 500 at record 7165 and Big Tech earnings cascade days away on April 27 2026
Daily Analysis

FOMC Week Day 1: Iran's Hormuz Proposal Hits the Tape, ES Futures 7,194 (-0.07%), WTI $95.66 (+1.3%), BTC $77,870 (+0.6%) on $824M Weekly ETF Inflows, Gold $4,718, ETH $2,321

Mon, 27 Apr 2026 · 9 min read

Daily AnalysisLatestTue, 28 Apr 2026 · 17:35 UTC · 8 min read

AI Selloff and $100 WTI Hit Records Into FOMC: S&P 7,126 (-0.66%), Nasdaq 24,592 (-1.18%), Gold $4,580 (-2.0%), BTC $76.4K, ETH $2,281

ThriveInMarkets daily analysis hero — gold-textured WTI oil barrel up 3.4 percent at $99.71 on the left, fractured gold ingot down 2 percent at $4,580 on the right, headline AI Selloff and $100 Oil Hit Records Into FOMC across center on dark navy circuit-board background, April 28 2026

ThriveInMarkets daily analysis hero — gold-textured WTI oil barrel up 3.4 percent at $99.71 on the left, fractured gold ingot down 2 percent at $4,580 on the right, headline AI Selloff and $100 Oil Hit Records Into FOMC across center on dark navy circuit-board background, April 28 2026

Tuesday opens FOMC Day 1 with two fresh shocks on the tape. WTI surged above $100 (now $99.71, +3.4%) after a New York Times report that President Trump is dissatisfied with Iran's Hormuz reopen proposal because it postpones nuclear talks; Brent prints near $111. A Wall Street Journal report that OpenAI missed internal revenue and user-growth targets, with CFO Sarah Friar warning leadership the firm may struggle to fund its compute contracts, ripped through the AI infrastructure complex: Oracle -5.2%, AMD and Intel both -4%, Nvidia and Broadcom -3% to -5%, CoreWeave sharply lower, and SoftBank -10% in Tokyo. The S&P 500 trades 7,126.42 (-0.66%) off Monday's record close of 7,173.93; Nasdaq -1.18% at 24,592.37. Gold plunges 2% to $4,580 as real yields climb on the oil-driven inflation impulse. Bitcoin trades $76,400 (-2.0% 24h) testing the $75K floor that has held every session in April; Ethereum at $2,281 (-0.2%). The April 28-29 FOMC begins today; Powell's press conference at 18:30 UTC Wednesday is the entire macro trade. Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet and Amazon report after the close Wednesday on the same day; Apple Thursday.

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GuideTue, 28 Apr 2026 · 09:00 UTC · 13 min read

How to Trade the April 28-29 FOMC: 25-Minute Bracket Framework for EUR/USD, USD/JPY and Gold

How to trade the April 28-29 2026 FOMC meeting using a 25-minute bracket framework on EUR/USD, USD/JPY and gold during Powell's press conference

How to trade the April 28-29 2026 FOMC meeting using a 25-minute bracket framework on EUR/USD, USD/JPY and gold during Powell's press conference

April 28-29 FOMC carries 99%+ hold odds, but it's a non-SEP cycle so Powell's tone is the entire trade. This guide breaks down the 25-minute post-news bracket framework institutional desks use, three Powell-tone scenarios mapped to EUR/USD, USD/JPY and XAU/USD, and the pattern recognition for when the first spike is the real move versus a fake-out fade. Bracket A runs 18:05-18:25 UTC, Bracket B runs 18:30-18:55 UTC during the Powell press conference. Compliance-safe framing throughout — no entries, no targets, only structural triggers and invalidation levels.

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Daily AnalysisMon, 27 Apr 2026 · 08:00 UTC · 9 min read

FOMC Week Day 1: Iran's Hormuz Proposal Hits the Tape, ES Futures 7,194 (-0.07%), WTI $95.66 (+1.3%), BTC $77,870 (+0.6%) on $824M Weekly ETF Inflows, Gold $4,718, ETH $2,321

Wall Street trading floor screens reacting to Iran Hormuz reopening proposal as FOMC week opens with S&P 500 at record 7165 and Big Tech earnings cascade days away on April 27 2026

Wall Street trading floor screens reacting to Iran Hormuz reopening proposal as FOMC week opens with S&P 500 at record 7165 and Big Tech earnings cascade days away on April 27 2026

Monday opens FOMC week with the binary calendar two trading days away and a fresh geopolitical cross-current on the wire. Iran passed a new proposal to the US through Pakistan over the weekend, offering to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the war in exchange for the US lifting its blockade, with nuclear talks postponed to a later phase. Brent traded near $107, WTI sits at $95.66 (+1.3% from Friday's $94.40 settle) as the standoff itself remains unchanged. ES futures print 7,194.75 (-0.07%) overnight after Friday's record S&P close at 7,165.08. Bitcoin trades $77,870 (+0.61% 24h) on a fourth straight week of spot ETF inflows ($824M week ended Friday, IBIT $733M), with the $80K resistance now in play. Ethereum prints $2,321 (+1.00%). Gold consolidates at $4,718 (-0.1%). The April 28-29 FOMC carries 99%+ hold odds, but it is a non-SEP cycle so Powell's tone is the entire trade. Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon report Wednesday after the close; Apple reports Thursday. Beijing also ordered Meta to unwind its $2B Manus AI acquisition this morning, an unrelated overhang on META into the print.

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Weekly RecapSun, 26 Apr 2026 · 16:00 UTC · 10 min read

Tech Records Into FOMC Week: SPX 7,165 (+0.6% wk), Nvidia $208 ATH, Intel +24% wk on Q1 Beat, WTI +13% wk to $94.40, Gold -3% wk to $4,720, BTC Back at $78K

Wall Street trading floor screens showing record S&P 500 close 7165 and Nvidia 5 trillion market cap heading into April 28-29 FOMC week 2026

Wall Street trading floor screens showing record S&P 500 close 7165 and Nvidia 5 trillion market cap heading into April 28-29 FOMC week 2026

April 20-25 was a paradox week: equities printed fresh records into the FOMC, oil ran +13% on Iran tensions, gold pulled back 3% on rekindled inflation fears, and Bitcoin clawed back from $75K to $78K despite the macro cross-currents. The S&P closed Friday at 7,165.08 (+0.6% wk), a new all-time high. Intel posted the biggest single-session move since 1987 on a blowout Q1 (+24% on the week), Nvidia retook $5 trillion in market cap with a record $208.27 close, and AMD surged 13% on no company news. WTI settled $94.40 Friday (-1.5% on the day, +13% on the week) after the White House dispatched Witkoff and Kushner to Pakistan for direct talks with Iran. Bitcoin trades $78,069 live (+3.5% wk), Ethereum $2,348, Fear & Greed at 33 (still Fear). Stocks/oil/gold prices below are Friday closes; crypto is live Sunday. The April 28-29 FOMC and the Microsoft/Meta/Apple/Google/Amazon earnings cascade are the entire next week.

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Market NewsSat, 25 Apr 2026 · 11:00 UTC · 16 min read

Nvidia Tops $5T as Intel Rallies 24%, Tesla Bets $25B on AI, wXRP Goes Live on Solana, BTC ETFs Pull $2.1B in 8 Days

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang as Nvidia stock closes at record $208.27 on April 24 2026 pushing market capitalization past $5 trillion for the second time and overtaking Alphabet by $1 trillion as AI chip demand reaccelerates

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang as Nvidia stock closes at record $208.27 on April 24 2026 pushing market capitalization past $5 trillion for the second time and overtaking Alphabet by $1 trillion as AI chip demand reaccelerates

The week's tape was an AI semis re-rate stacked on a crypto cross-chain unlock. Nvidia closed Friday at a record $208.27 to retake $5 trillion in market cap, Intel ripped 24% on a $13.6B Q1 print, Tesla beat EPS but guided 2026 capex up to $25B for AI and Robotaxi, wrapped XRP went live on Solana via LayerZero and Hex Trust, and US spot Bitcoin ETFs absorbed $2.1B over an eight-session inflow streak as BTC held the $76K-$80K range into next week's FOMC.

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Daily AnalysisSat, 25 Apr 2026 · 08:00 UTC · 10 min read

FOMC Week Opens: SPX 7,165 ATH, Nvidia $5T Cap, WTI $94.70 (-1.0%) on Pakistan Envoy Talks, BTC $77,410, ETH $2,309, Gold $4,710, Powell's Final Presser Wednesday

Trading floor view of price screens as Federal Reserve FOMC week opens April 28 to 29 2026 with S&P 500 at record 7165 and Nvidia retaking 5 trillion market cap on Intel earnings beat

Trading floor view of price screens as Federal Reserve FOMC week opens April 28 to 29 2026 with S&P 500 at record 7165 and Nvidia retaking 5 trillion market cap on Intel earnings beat

The weekend opens with the FOMC decision four trading days away and the tape sitting at fresh records. S&P 500 closed Friday at 7,165.08 (+0.80%), a fresh all-time high alongside the Nasdaq, on the back of Intel's 24% earnings rip and Nvidia retaking $5 trillion in market cap (closing record $208.27). WTI eased to $94.70 (-1.0%) on Friday after the White House dispatched envoys to Pakistan where Iranian officials are also expected, snapping a four-day winning streak that had taken crude from $86 to $96. Bitcoin trades $77,410 (-0.62% 24h) holding the $76K-$80K range, Ethereum prints $2,309 (-0.43%), gold spot at $4,710. Fear & Greed Index at 31 (Fear). The April 28-29 FOMC carries 99% hold odds on Polymarket; April is a non-SEP meeting so Powell's final presser as chair is the entire trade. PCE on Thursday and ISM Manufacturing on Friday round out the week.

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Daily AnalysisFri, 24 Apr 2026 · 08:00 UTC · 10 min read

US Seizes 3 Iran Tankers Off Malaysia & India, WTI $94.10 Fourth Straight Session Up, TSLA $373.60 Post-Capex Plunge, SPX 7,108 -0.41%, BTC $77,755, ETH $2,305, Gold $4,726, Warsh Still Blocked at 12-12

US Navy blockade operations as US Central Command intercepts three Iranian-flagged oil tankers Deep Sea Sevin and Derya in Asian waters off Malaysia India and Sri Lanka on April 23 2026 escalating the sea trade blockade beyond the Strait of Hormuz

US Navy blockade operations as US Central Command intercepts three Iranian-flagged oil tankers Deep Sea Sevin and Derya in Asian waters off Malaysia India and Sri Lanka on April 23 2026 escalating the sea trade blockade beyond the Strait of Hormuz

Friday opens with the Iran blockade escalating well beyond the Strait of Hormuz. US forces intercepted three Iranian-flagged oil tankers (Deep Sea, Sevin, Derya) in Asian waters off Malaysia, India, and Sri Lanka yesterday, pushing the total ship count redirected by US Central Command to 31. WTI crude ripped to $94.10 for a fourth straight session of gains, Brent prints near $96. Tesla cratered 3.59% to $373.60 after Wednesday's Q1 print where the $25B capex guide (up from $20B) and the admission of negative free cash flow for the rest of 2026 overwhelmed the EPS beat. S&P 500 closed 7,108.40 (-0.41%), giving back roughly half of Wednesday's record rally as the tanker seizure tape re-engaged the war premium. ES futures overnight are near 7,133.75 (-0.06%). Bitcoin holds $77,755, Ethereum $2,305.80, gold eased to $4,726.58. Warsh confirmation still blocked 12-12 in committee. FOMC April 28-29 is four trading days out.

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Daily AnalysisThu, 23 Apr 2026 · 08:00 UTC · 8 min read

TSLA Fades Post-Close on $25B Capex, SPX 7,137 Record Into Pullback, Iran Ship Seizures Push WTI $93, BTC $78K, ETH $2,347, Gold $4,706, Warsh Still 12-12 Stuck

Tehran cityscape and Strait of Hormuz shipping tensions on Thursday April 23 2026 as Iran seizes commercial vessels after Trump extends ceasefire indefinitely and US blockade turns back 31 tankers

Tehran cityscape and Strait of Hormuz shipping tensions on Thursday April 23 2026 as Iran seizes commercial vessels after Trump extends ceasefire indefinitely and US blockade turns back 31 tankers

Thursday opens with yesterday's record rally giving back a chunk overnight. S&P 500 closed Wednesday at 7,137.90 (+1.05%) and Nasdaq at 24,657 (+1.64%), both fresh ATHs on Trump's indefinite Iran ceasefire extension. But ES futures are -0.46% into the European session after Tesla's Q1 print. TSLA beat on EPS ($0.41 vs $0.38) but missed revenue ($22.39B vs $23B consensus), delivered 358,023 vehicles, and guided full-year capex to $25B (up from the $20B call last quarter). The stock printed +4% intraday in extended trade then faded the gain. Meanwhile Iran seized commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz within hours of Trump's ceasefire extension, and US Central Command's naval blockade has now turned back 31 tankers. WTI pushed to $93, Brent near $98. Bitcoin holds $78,000, Ethereum $2,347, gold eased to $4,706 as the risk-on record day pulled fast money off the defensive bid. FOMC is six days out.

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Daily AnalysisWed, 22 Apr 2026 · 08:00 UTC · 8 min read

Ceasefire Extended on Tehran 'Fractured' Read, BTC $77.5K +3%, ETH $2,325, S&P 7,064 (-0.63%) With Futures +0.5%, Gold $4,785, WTI $90, TSLA Q1 After Close

Gold bars and coins with candlestick trading chart and world map - morning market analysis April 22 2026

Gold bars and coins with candlestick trading chart and world map - morning market analysis April 22 2026

Wednesday opens with the binary flipped. Trump extended the US-Iran ceasefire late Tuesday, citing Tehran's 'seriously fractured' government, and equity futures rallied 0.35-0.5% into the European session. Bitcoin reclaimed $77,500 (+3% from Tuesday's $75.9K print) and Ethereum lifted to $2,325. The S&P 500 closed Tuesday at 7,064.01 (-0.63%) off Friday's 7,126 all-time high, but ES futures are green and bidding up into the US open. Gold consolidates at $4,785 as fast money trims, WTI eased to roughly $90 after spiking to $92 on Monday. The catalyst stack for today: Warsh hearing fallout (Tillis blocker intact), US flash PMI at 13:45 UTC, and Tesla Q1 2026 after the close with consensus $21.4B-$22.7B revenue and $0.30-$0.37 EPS.

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Daily AnalysisTue, 21 Apr 2026 · 15:45 UTC · 8 min read

Tim Cook Out Sep 1 (Ternus In), Warsh Fed Hearing Today, BTC $75.9K +2.7%, S&P Holds 7,100 Below 7,126 ATH, Gold $4,782, WTI $86, Ceasefire Expires Wed Eve, TSLA Q1 Tomorrow

Wall Street trading floor screens Tuesday April 21 2026 as markets digest Apple CEO succession Kevin Warsh Fed confirmation hearing and Iran ceasefire expiration

Wall Street trading floor screens Tuesday April 21 2026 as markets digest Apple CEO succession Kevin Warsh Fed confirmation hearing and Iran ceasefire expiration

Tuesday opens with a dual leadership transition: Tim Cook stepping down as Apple CEO effective Sep 1 (John Ternus takes over) and Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh facing his Senate confirmation hearing at 10am ET. Bitcoin reclaimed $75,901 intraday (+2.7% from Monday's open) and Ethereum lifted 2.2% to $2,322 as the fourth Iran-scare dip was bought. S&P 500 sits at 7,100 (-0.12%), Nasdaq 24,431 (+0.11%), Dow 49,400 (-0.08%) after Monday's small fade. Gold pulled back to $4,782 (-0.81%), WTI near $86.27, Brent $96.32. Heads up on CPI: April inflation does NOT release today -- BLS schedule puts it on May 12; the March print was 3.3% YoY. Iran ceasefire expires Wednesday evening Washington time with Trump saying he does not want to extend. Tesla Q1 earnings tomorrow after close -- consensus $21.9B revenue, $0.36 EPS.

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Daily AnalysisMon, 20 Apr 2026 · 08:00 UTC · 7 min read

Iran Reverses Friday's Hormuz Reopen, US Navy Seizes Iranian Ship, WTI Spikes to $88, Bitcoin Slips, All Eyes on Apr 23 Ceasefire Expiry

Satellite view of the Strait of Hormuz after Iran closed the waterway again April 20 2026 oil spikes 6 percent

Satellite view of the Strait of Hormuz after Iran closed the waterway again April 20 2026 oil spikes 6 percent

Monday opens with a full reversal of Friday's risk-on trade. Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz again over the weekend after Trump refused to lift the US naval blockade, the US Navy seized an Iranian-flagged cargo ship, and crude prices snapped back roughly 6% with WTI above $88 after Friday's 12% crash to $83.85. Equity futures opened 0.7-0.8% lower and the S&P 500 is printing 7,099, off its 7,126 Friday all-time high. Bitcoin slipped to $74,700 (-1.6%) as the fourth major Iran-scare wave hit crypto, Ethereum held $2,316, and gold pulled back to $4,815 from Friday's $4,867 print. The April 23 ceasefire expiry and the April 28-29 FOMC are the two binary catalysts this week.

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