Semana del 28 de septiembre de 2026
RBA hike, August core PCE, and September payrolls set the October Fed path.
Las explicaciones detalladas de cada dato siguen en inglés durante esta prueba.
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The Fed's next decision is October 28, and Friday's FedWatch still sat near 64-66% for another 25bp after last week's hike to 3.75-4.00%. This week is the data that can move that pricing: Wednesday's August PCE (core seen at +0.3% on the month and 3.3% on the year), Thursday's ISM manufacturing (consensus 55.0 versus 54.6), and Friday's September payrolls (consensus about +100K versus August's +162K, unemployment 4.1%). Tuesday's RBA is the other central-bank decision: the cash rate is 4.35%, a 25bp hike to 4.60% is about 90% priced, and Governor Bullock's press conference is the Australian-dollar tell, with Wednesday's August CPI the test of a November follow-up. Europe's inflation week runs from Tuesday's Spanish flash to Friday's eurozone HICP flash, seen near 3.5% after August's 3.3%. Micron reports after Wednesday's close and Nike after Thursday's, with WTI at Friday's $92.41 settlement, the 10-year near 5.16-5.18%, and China shutting Thursday for National Day.
Este calendario es solo informativo y no constituye asesoramiento financiero. Las horas, previsiones y análisis se basan en datos públicos y pueden cambiar. Verifica siempre con fuentes oficiales antes de operar.