The S&P 500 recovered last week's drop as oil eased today, with US cash still open. As flagged in this morning's analysis, as of 20:00 UTC those index prints remain intraday, and Friday's cash close of 7,623.68 left a bullish reclaim at 7,660.15 then Thursday's 7,663.43; both have been taken near 7,681.
The Close: S&P Recovers Last Week's Drop, Cash Still Open
The S&P 500 last printed about 7,681, up 0.76 percent from Friday's 7,623.68 (Yahoo 7,681.43 at 19:40 UTC; Motley Fool 7,680.77). Range 7,639.70 to 7,702.13. The session faded from that high. October 6's 7,818.93 record close remains unrepaired. The Nasdaq Composite last printed about 26,211, up 0.98 percent. The Nasdaq-100 last printed about 29,331, up 1.29 percent, and the PHLX Semiconductor Index about 11,147, up 3.41 percent. The Dow last printed about 52,335, up 0.23 percent. The VIX last sat at 18.30 against Friday's 19.45. Anthropic filed its S-1 for a Nasdaq listing under ticker ANT, with first-half revenue of 16.3 billion dollars and a net loss of 80.7 billion dollars (NPR, CoinDesk). Tesla last printed about 394 dollars, up about 6 percent, after Barclays moved the stock to Overweight from Equal Weight. Nvidia last printed about 216.50 dollars, up about 2.6 percent. Verizon last printed about 43.13 dollars, down about 3.4 percent, after adjusted earnings of 1.31 dollars a share beat the 1.27 seen while revenue of 34.3 billion dollars missed. Overnight S&P 500 futures near 7,675 this morning were held and extended in cash. S&P bullish trigger: a hold through the session high at 7,702.13, then the October 6 record close at 7,818.93. Bearish trigger: a fade through the session low at 7,639.70, then Friday's 7,612.07.
- S&P about 7,681 (+0.76%), labeled intraday; morning reclaim 7,660.15 then 7,663.43 taken
- Nasdaq about 26,211 (+0.98%); semiconductors about +3.4%; Dow about 52,335 (+0.23%)
- Anthropic filed for Nasdaq ticker ANT; Tesla about +6%; Verizon about -3.4% on a revenue miss
- S&P bullish trigger: hold 7,702.13 then 7,818.93; bearish: 7,639.70, then 7,612.07
Story of the Day: Oil Eases After the Weekend Premium Fades
West Texas Intermediate last printed about 102.36 dollars (goldoilprice around 19:40 UTC; Yahoo 102.37; OilPriceAPI 102.28), against Friday's settle of 103.27 and this morning's about 100.94. Session range 100.33 to 103.13. The morning bearish reference at 100.69 was taken on the low. Friday's 103.27 was not reclaimed. That bounce from the low, with crude still below last week's six-month high, is what let the S&P recover Friday's oil-driven drop. Weekend Houthi strikes on Saudi sites faded after Qatari mediators sat in Tehran on Sunday, as this morning's notes flagged. Brent last printed about 111.22 dollars on goldoilprice, a separate contract from Friday's ICE six-month high. The 10-year yield last sat about 4.986 percent, little changed, under the 10 basis-point bar. Oil bullish trigger: a reclaim of Friday's 103.27 settle. Bearish trigger: a slip through the session low at 100.33.
- WTI about $102.36 vs Friday settle $103.27 and this morning about $100.94
- Morning bearish $100.69 taken (low $100.33); Friday $103.27 not reclaimed (high $103.13)
- Oil bullish trigger: reclaim $103.27; bearish: $100.33
Crypto Check: Bitcoin Slips Through This Morning's Floor
Bitcoin last printed about 79,771 dollars (TradingView). Yahoo sat at 79,900 and CoinGecko at 79,950 at 19:39 UTC, under 1 percent apart. This morning last printed about 80,142. The previously published 80,400 zone, then Thursday's about 79,800 floor, were both taken (Yahoo range low 79,278). The 21-period exponential average near 82,700 remains overhead. Ether last printed about 2,312 dollars (TradingView 2,312.4), versus this morning's about 2,317. Crypto's daily candle closes at 00:00 UTC, so these remain intraday. BTC bullish trigger: a reclaim of 82,700. Bearish trigger: the 80,400 then 79,800 zones have already given way; traders watching whether the session low near 79,278 holds as a reference.
- Bitcoin about $79,771 vs this morning about $80,142; $80,400 then $79,800 taken
- Ether about $2,312; prints labeled intraday
- BTC bullish trigger: reclaim $82,700; session low near $79,278 is the lower reference
After-Hours and Overnight Watch
US cash still has the closing auction as of 20:00 UTC. Spot gold last printed about 4,012 dollars (TradingView 4,012.415, goldoilprice 4,014.50). Kitco sat at 4,019.20 at 12:45 New York, range 3,977.90 to 4,027.50. This morning last printed about 4,005. The morning bearish reference near 3,978 was taken. The 4,100 zone remains overhead. Germany's Ifo business climate printed 90.2 against September's 89.9; manufacturing situation and expectations turned positive for the first time in more than three years (ifo Institute). The Fed remains in blackout through October 29 ahead of the October 27-28 FOMC. The statement is due Wednesday at 18:00 UTC, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 18:30 UTC. Tuesday: durable goods at 12:30 UTC and consumer confidence at 14:00 UTC. Coca-Cola, Boeing and UPS report before Tuesday's open; Visa after that close. Microsoft and Alphabet report after Wednesday's close; Amazon on Thursday. Docket: the calendar and the week ahead. Gold bullish trigger: a reclaim of 4,100. Bearish trigger: a slip through the session low near 3,978. Scenarios to watch.
- Gold about $4,012; morning bearish $3,978 taken; $4,100 overhead
- Ifo 90.2 vs 89.9; manufacturing positive for the first time in more than three years
- Cash still open until 20:00 UTC; FOMC statement Wednesday 18:00 UTC
For live prices see the ThriveInMarkets homepage. None of the above is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Index prints are intraday as of 20:00 UTC Monday, October 26, 2026. Gold, oil, Bitcoin and Ether are live and labeled intraday.
