As flagged in Tuesday's evening review, the S&P 500 closed 7,805.45, down 0.02 percent. Overnight E-mini December futures last printed about 7,868, labeled overnight futures. South Korea's Kospi closed 6,008.81, down 0.44 percent, after erasing an intraday rebound of more than 2 percent. Spot gold last printed about 4,146 dollars. Bitcoin last printed about 83,391 dollars. West Texas Intermediate last printed about 94.54 dollars. Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and BlackRock report before the open. September CPI is due at 12:30 UTC. Cash opens 13:30 UTC. Catch up: week ahead. This is the morning scorecard, not an instruction.

The Setup: Overnight ES Near 7,868 Ahead of 12:30 UTC CPI

The S&P 500's last cash print remains Tuesday's 7,805.45. Range 7,786.11 to 7,814.15. October 6's 7,818.93 record close and the 7,844.52 high remain unrepaired. The Nasdaq Composite closed 27,204.38, down 0.15 percent. The Dow closed 51,670.10, down 0.35 percent. Overnight ES last printed about 7,868 versus a 7,855.75 settlement. Nasdaq-100 futures last printed about 30,797. The 10-year last printed about 5.221 percent. FedWatch puts October hike odds near 22 percent and December near 88 percent. New York Fed President John Williams said one more hike this year may be appropriate. The dollar index last printed about 102.17. Bullish trigger: a reclaim of 7,821.67 toward 7,844.52. Bearish trigger: a slide through Tuesday's 7,786.11, then Friday's 7,779.34.

Key Takeaways: The Setup
  • S&P Tuesday close 7,805.45 (-0.02%); range 7,786.11-7,814.15; Oct 6 record 7,818.93 unrepaired
  • Overnight ES futures ~7,868 vs settlement 7,855.75; NQ futures ~30,797
  • 10-year ~5.221%; October hike odds ~22%; December ~88%; DXY ~102.17
  • S&P bullish trigger: reclaim 7,821.67 toward 7,844.52; bearish: 7,786.11, then 7,779.34

Story of the Day: Kospi Closes 6,008.81 After Erasing a 2% Rebound

South Korea's Kospi closed 6,008.81, down 0.44 percent (Yonhap; Korea Times), a sixth straight decline, after tagging 6,190.65, up 2.57 percent, then fading. Foreign investors sold a net 1.18 trillion won. SK hynix fell 1.66 percent. Samsung Electronics finished flat. The fade followed ASML's third-quarter print: sales of 11.66 billion euros, net income of 5.0 billion euros, and a raised 2026 sales floor to 44 to 45 billion euros. Yonhap said the revised outlook still disappointed versus an 84 percent year-to-date surge. Japan's Nikkei 225 closed 67,744.3, down 33.2 points. Chip bullish trigger: a hold of Kospi 6,000 through today's 6,190.65 high. Bearish trigger: a slip through 6,000, then Tuesday's about 5,911 area.

Key Takeaways: Kospi and ASML
  • Kospi 6,008.81 (-0.44%), sixth session; high 6,190.65 (+2.57%); foreigners sold 1.18 trillion won
  • SK hynix -1.66%; Samsung flat; Nikkei 67,744.3 (-33.2 points)
  • ASML Q3 sales 11.66 billion euros, net income 5.0 billion; 2026 floor lifted to 44-45 billion euros
  • Chip bullish trigger: hold Kospi 6,000 through 6,190.65; bearish: 6,000, then ~5,911

Oil Holds $94.54 as Hormuz Attacks and an Aramco Hit Keep the Bid

West Texas Intermediate last printed about 94.54 dollars (MarketWatch CL.1 94.54 at 3:33 a.m. EDT; OilPriceAPI 94.44 at 07:36 UTC). Tuesday's NYMEX settle was 94.14. Tuesday evening last printed about 94.90. Overnight range about 94.28 to 95.41. Brent last printed about 106.15 dollars. Reuters said Iran is using new tactics against ships in the Strait of Hormuz. UKMTO reported a container ship and a tanker struck. The US said it assisted shipping more than 19 million barrels through the waterway. Saudi Arabia said an Aramco building in Dhahran was hit as Houthi attacks continued. Oil bullish trigger: a hold of 94.54 through 95.41. Bearish trigger: a slip through Tuesday's 94.14 settle, then 91.70.

Key Takeaways: Oil
  • WTI ~$94.54 vs Tuesday settle $94.14 and Tuesday evening ~$94.90; range ~$94.28-$95.41
  • Brent ~$106.15; Hormuz strikes continue; US said it helped move 19 million barrels
  • Aramco Dhahran building hit as Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia continued
  • Oil bullish trigger: hold $94.54 through $95.41; bearish: $94.14, then $91.70
A pumpjack silhouetted against a Texas sunset with storage tanks on the horizon, used as the ThriveInMarkets morning analysis inline image for Wednesday October 14 2026, when West Texas Intermediate last printed about 94.54 dollars as Hormuz tanker attacks and a hit on an Aramco building in Dhahran kept a bid under crude

Gold Fades to $4,146 Ahead of CPI

Spot gold last printed about 4,146 dollars (TradingView 4,146.195 as of Oct 14). Kitco's bid sat at 4,146.70 at 3:36 a.m. ET, down 13.40 dollars, day range 4,142.60 to 4,171.10. Tuesday evening last printed about 4,159. Wednesday's two-month low near 4,066 remains the floor. CPI at 12:30 UTC is the next checkpoint. Gold bullish trigger: a reclaim of 4,159 through today's 4,171 high. Bearish trigger: a slip through about 4,142, then 4,066.

Key Takeaways: Gold
  • Gold ~$4,146; TradingView $4,146.195 as of Oct 14; Kitco bid $4,146.70
  • Range $4,142.60-$4,171.10; Tuesday evening ~$4,159; Wednesday low ~$4,066
  • CPI at 12:30 UTC is the next checkpoint
  • Gold bullish trigger: reclaim $4,159 through $4,171; bearish: $4,142, then $4,066

Bitcoin Holds $83,391 After Tuesday's $83,200 Print

Bitcoin last printed about 83,391 dollars (TradingView 83,391; CoinMarketCap 83,384.12 dated Oct 14). That repaired Tuesday evening's about 83,200 and still sits under Tuesday morning's about 83,836. Thursday's about 80,300 low remains the floor. Ether last printed about 2,503 dollars (TradingView 2,502.8). Live levels: homepage. BTC bullish trigger: a reclaim of 83,836 dollars, then 84,168. Bearish trigger: a slip through about 81,011, then 80,300.

Key Takeaways: Bitcoin
  • Bitcoin ~$83,391 (TradingView); CoinMarketCap $83,384 dated Oct 14
  • Tuesday evening ~$83,200; Tuesday morning ~$83,836; Thursday low ~$80,300
  • Ether ~$2,503 (TradingView)
  • BTC bullish trigger: reclaim $83,836 then $84,168; bearish: $81,011, then $80,300

What's Next: CPI 12:30 UTC, Banks Before the Open, Cash 13:30 UTC

September CPI at 12:30 UTC is the last major inflation print before the October 27-28 FOMC. Headline is seen at +0.6 percent month-on-month and 3.6 percent year over year; core +0.2 percent / 2.5 percent. Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and BlackRock report before the open. TipRanks said Bank of America fell 2.3 percent in extended trading after a more than 1.2 billion dollar fine. Thursday: PPI and retail sales. Cash opens at 13:30 UTC. Mechanics: CPI guide. Docket: week ahead and the calendar. Scenarios to watch, not a recommendation.

Key Takeaways: What's Next
  • Today: BAC, MS, BLK before the open; CPI 12:30 UTC (headline ~+0.6% / 3.6%; core +0.2% / 2.5%); cash 13:30 UTC
  • BAC AH -2.3% on a $1.2B fine; FOMC October 27-28
  • Thursday: PPI and retail sales
  • S&P bullish trigger: reclaim 7,821.67 toward 7,844.52; bearish: 7,786.11, then 7,779.34

For live prices see the ThriveInMarkets homepage. None of the above is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. US cash closes are Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Overnight futures, gold, oil, Bitcoin, Ether, Kospi and Nikkei are Wednesday, October 14, 2026.